THE SPORTS ADVISORS
Georgetown (14-12, 7-14-1 ATS) at (10) Villanova (23-5, 14-10 ATS)
Surging Villanova, shooting for its 10 win in the last 11 games, takes on freefalling Georgetown in a Big East contest at the Wachovia Center.
The Wildcats held off DePaul 74-72 Wednesday night for their third straight win (1-2 ATS), but they failed to cover as a 13-point road chalk. Villanova, which is 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 starts (all within the Big East), has averaged 77.4 ppg this season while allowing 66.8. The Wildcats have matched that 77.4 ppg on their home court this year, but they’ve tightened up the defense, yielding just 60.4 ppg.
The Hoyas got dumped at home by Louisville 76-58 as a one-point pup Monday, continuing their season-killing slide, as they are now 2-9 SU and 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 starts. For the season, Georgetown has been outscored by one point per game on the road (71.8-70.8), but the Hoyas’ only road win in their last five Big East trips came against lowly South Florida, with the four losses coming by an average final score of 80.5-73.3.
Villanova is 11-4 SU (9-6 ATS) in the Big East this year, posting a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS mark at home. Georgetown is 5-10 SU (3-12 ATS) in conference action, including 2-5 SU and ATS on the road.
Georgetown has won four in a row in this rivalry (3-1 ATS), most recently posting an 83-63 rout laying 6½ points in last year’s Big East Tournament. The underdog is also on a 9-4 ATS run in this rivalry, and Villanova is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 clashes.
The Wildcats are on ATS upswings of 9-3 in conference play, 8-1 against winning teams, 6-1 on Saturday, 5-1 at home and 7-2 after a SU win. On the flip side, the Hoyas are on pointspread nosedives of 2-12-1 overall, 0-6 after a double-digit home loss, 1-10-1 against winning teams, 1-5-1 on the road, 6-18-1 on Saturday and 8-20 in Big East contests.
The over for Villanova is on a 6-1 run (all in the Big East), and the over for Georgetown is on rolls of 5-1 on Saturday and 8-2 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. However, the under for the Wildcats is on streaks of 9-4 at home, 6-2 on Saturday and 4-1 against winning teams, and the under for the Hoyas is on stretches of 17-7 on the road and 4-1 against winning teams.
Finally, in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in four of the last five meetings.
ATS ADVANTAGE: VILLANOVA and UNDER
Notre Dame (16-11, 6-15 ATS) at (2) Connecticut (26-2, 11-11 ATS)
Big East-leading Connecticut aims to continue its run toward a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament when it plays host to inconsistent Notre Dame at Gampel Pavilion.
The Huskies dropped Marquette 93-82 as a one-point road chalk Wednesday night to halt a three-game ATS hiccup and hand the Golden Eagles their first home loss of the season. UConn is now on a 15-1 SU run, though it has gone just 8-7 ATS in lined games over that stretch. The Huskies’ scoring has been down lately, at just 70 ppg (while allowing 62.2) in its last five starts, but for the season at home, Connecticut has outscored opponents by an even 19 ppg (78.9-59.6.) in going 13-2 SU.
The Fighting Irish, looking to rebuild its NCAA Tournament momentum, routed Providence 103-84 as a two-point road pup last Saturday, then barely held off Rutgers on Wednesday 70-65 as a 14-point home favorite. Notre Dame has followed a seven-game SU and ATS freefall with a 4-1 SU surge (2-3 ATS), but the Irish are getting outscored by an average of about six points per game on the road this year (82.5-76.6).
Connecticut is 14-2 in Big East play (8-7 ATS in lined games), with a 6-2 SU mark at home (2-5 ATS in lined contests). Notre Dame is 7-8 SU (4-11 ATS) in conference, including 2-6 SU and ATS on the road.
UConn has won and covered in the last two meetings between these two, including a 69-61 road victory last month as a two-point chalk, which snapped Notre Dame’s home winning streak at 45 games. The Huskies are 4-2 ATS in the last six clashes in Connecticut, the home team is on a 5-2 ATS run, and the favorite has covered in four of the last five meetings.
Despite their lofty SU record, the Huskies are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games and are on a 7-20-1 ATS slide coming off a game in which they scored more than 90 points. Likewise, the spread-covering slides for Notre Dame are practically endless, including 2-11 overall, 0-6 after a SU win, 1-7 on the highway, 2-10 in the Big East, 2-9 against winning teams and 8-20-1 on Saturday.
The under for Connecticut is on streaks of 5-2 overall, 5-1 after a spread-cover, 4-1 on Saturday and 11-5 after a SU win. Conversely, the over for Notre Dame is on tears of 22-10 in conference action, 6-1 on the road, 5-1 on Saturday, and 17-4 in roadies against teams with a winning home record.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CONNECTICUT
(12) Clemson (22-5, 11-10-1 ATS) at (23) Florida State (21-7, 14-7-1 ATS)
A pair of ACC teams looking to shore up their postseason credentials and earn a first round bye in the upcoming conference tournament square off when Clemson travels to Tallahassee to face Florida State.
The Tigers stumbled as a 10-point home chalk to Virginia Tech on Wednesday, losing 80-77 for to fall to 3-3 SU and ATS in their last six contests, all as a favorite. For the season, Clemson has outscored its foes by more than 12 ppg (79.2-66.8), but that margin tightens up significantly on the road, where the Tigers average 82.3 ppg and allow 79.3.
The Seminoles fell short at Boston College 72-67 Tuesday as a two-point ‘dog, slowing a 5-1 SU (4-2 ATS) surge in ACC play, including two straight wins and covers prior to losing to the Eagles. Florida State has been narrowly outscored over its last five starts (69.4-69.0), but at home this season, the Seminoles beat opponents by nearly seven ppg (68.8-62.1), going 11-3 SU.
Clemson is 8-5 SU (7-5-1 ATS) in ACC play this year, including 4-2 SU and ATS on the highway. Florida State is also 8-5 SU (8-4-1 ATS), with a 4-2 SU and ATS mark at home.
Florida State is 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four meetings in this rivalry, including a 65-61 road upset three weeks ago catching nine points.
The Tigers are on ATS upticks of 6-2 on the road, 20-8-1 on the highway against teams with a winning road record and 13-6-1 after a pointspread setback, but they are on an 0-5-1 ATS slide on Saturdays. The Seminoles enjoy nothing but positive ATS streaks, including 18-8-2 overall, 6-0-1 after a non-cover, 5-1 after a SU loss, 6-2 on Saturday, 12-4-2 in the ACC, 5-2 at home and 7-3-1 against winning teams.
The over for Clemson is on rolls of 5-0 overall (all in the ACC) and 8-0 on the road, but the under for the Tigers is on a 9-1 tear against winning teams, and the under for Florida State is on streaks of 5-2 overall (all in ACC play), 8-1 against winning teams, 20-6-1 after a SU loss and 5-2 on Saturday. Furthermore, the last five meetings in Tallahassee have stayed below the total, and the under is 7-1 in the last eight series clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Illinois State (22-7, 13-12 ATS) at Creighton (24-6, 14-9-1 ATS)
Streaking Creighton goes after its 10th straight victory when it welcomes Illinois State to the Qwest Center in a meeting of two of the top teams in the Missouri Valley Conference.
The Bluejays went out of conference to dump George Mason 76-63 as a 7½-point home chalk last Saturday in a Bracket Buster game, then beat Missouri State 65-59 Tuesday, pushing as a six-point road favorite. Creighton is 6-2-1 ATS during its 9-0 SU run and has scored 73 points or more in eight of those games. Over the last five games, the Jays are outscoring opponents by an average of 12 ppg (78.2-66.2).
The Redbirds fell to Northern Iowa 69-67 in overtime as a 6½-point home favorite Tuesday for their second consecutive SU and ATS loss, following a three-game SU and ATS win streak. Illinois State has averaged 70.9 ppg this season, while allowing 62.8, but the Redbirds drop off on the road, where they average just 65.4 ppg, about a bucket more than their opponents (63.8).
Creighton leads the MVC with a 13-4 SU mark (9-7-1 ATS) and is 7-2 SU and 3-5-1 ATS in home conference games. Illinois State stands at 11-6 SU in conference (8-9 ATS), including 4-4 SU and ATS on the road.
Illinois State has owned this rivalry lately, winning four straight and cashing in the last five meetings, including an 86-64 dusting as a two-point home favorite at the beginning of January. The Redbirds are 5-2 ATS on their last seven trips to Omaha, but the home team is on a 6-2 ATS run in the last eight clashes.
The Bluejays sport positive ATS streaks of 6-1-1 overall, 5-1-1 in the Missouri Valley, 6-1-1 after a SU win, 4-1 against winning teams and 5-1 against teams with a win percentage above .600. Illinois State, conversely, is on pointspread plunges of 2-6 against winning teams, 1-6 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 3-13 after a SU loss and 4-9 after a non-cover.
The over for Creighton is on tears of 38-17-1 overall, 21-5-1 at the Qwest Center, 20-7-1 in conference action, 27-11-1 following a SU win, 4-1 against winning teams and 5-2 on Saturday. Likewise, the over for Illinois State is on upswings of 6-0 on Saturday, 4-0 after a SU loss and 4-1 in the Missouri Valley. Finally, the total has gone high in four of the last five series meetings in Omaha.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CREIGHTON and OVER
Arizona (18-10, 16-11 ATS) at (21) Washington (21-7, 17-9 ATS)
Washington, on the brink of wrapping up the Pac-10 regular-season title, caps a weekend homestand with a matchup against Arizona at Bank of America Arena.
The Huskies outlasted No. 14 Arizona State 73-70 in overtime Thursday night, and though they barely failed to cash as a 3½-point home chalk, they are still 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six starts, all in Pac-10 play. At home this year, Washington has averaged nearly 15 points more per game than its opponents (81.6-66.9), a notch better than its overall season averages of 79.2 ppg scored and 69.7 ppg allowed. The Huskies are 15-1 at home this season (9-5 ATS in lined games).
The Wildcats have followed a seven-game winning streak (6-1 ATS) with back-to-back losses, falling at Arizona State 70-68 last Sunday but covering as an eight-point pup, then getting blown out Thursday at Washington State 69-53 as a three-point ‘dog. Arizona, which is still 7-2 SU and ATS in its last nine starts, has been outscored on the road this season by an average of 7.5 ppg (70.8-63.3), lagging behind its overall averages of 71.4 ppg scored and 66.8 ppg allowed.
Washington leads the Pac-10 with a 12-4 record (10-6 ATS), going 6-1 SU and 3-4 ATS at home. Arizona is fourth in the conference at 8-7 (9-6 ATS), going 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS on the road.
Arizona is on a 4-1 SU and ATS roll in this rivalry, including a high-octane 106-97 home win as a one-point pup a month ago. However, the home team is on a 4-0 ATS run, the favorite has covered in four of the last five meetings, and Washington is 5-2 ATS in the last seven contests in Seattle.
The Huskies are on ATS surges of 5-0 in Saturday tilts, 4-0 after a non-cover, 5-1 at home against teams with a losing road record and 5-2 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The Wildcats are on positive pointspread streaks of 6-0 on Saturday, 4-0 after a non-cover, 10-4 after a SU loss and 6-1 against winning teams, but they’ve beat the spread in just four of their last 13 road games.
The over for Washington is on sprees of 13-3 overall, 11-0 after a SU win, 7-0 at home, 13-3 on Saturday and 20-7 in the Pac-10, and the over for Arizona is on streaks of 4-1 overall, 5-0 against teams with a win percentage above .600 and 16-5 on Saturday. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has cleared the posted price in six of the last seven clashes in Seattle.
ATS ADVANTAGE: WASHINGTON and OVER
(18) LSU (24-4, 11-9 ATS) at Kentucky (19-9, 12-10-1 ATS)
LSU takes a nine-game overall and 12-game SEC winning streak to Rupp Arena for a conference clash with Kentucky, with the Tigers looking to wrap up the top seed in the upcoming SEC Tournament with a victory.
Since losing 65-59 at Alabama as a three-point underdog to open SEC play, LSU has ripped off 12 consecutive league wins, most recently upending Florida 81-75 on Wednesday and cashing as a 3½-point home favorite to end an 0-3 ATS slide. The Tigers’ only loss in their last 13 games came at home against then 15th-ranked Xavier (80-70 as a 2½-point favorite in a non-conference game). Since the Alabama setback, LSU has scored at least 70 points in every game and is averaging 80.4 ppg in SEC play.
The Wildcats are coming off Wednesday’s ugly 77-59 loss at South Carolina in a pick-em contest, with star guard Jodie Meeks (18 points) and forward Patrick Patterson (28 points) scoring all but 13 of the team’s points and making 16 of the squad’s 20 field goals. Kentucky has lost five of its last eight games (2-6 ATS), going 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS at home during this stretch.
LSU has clinched the SEC West title with a 12-1 conference mark (8-5 ATS), including 5-1 on the road (4-2 ATS). Kentucky is 8-5 (6-7 ATS) and tied for second in the SEC East, going 4-2 SU at home but only 2-4 ATS.
The Wildcats have taken the last two meetings against LSU and are 8-1 (6-3 ATS) in the last nine clashes. However, the visitor has covered in each of the last three regular-season battles.
LSU is 13-6 ATS in SEC play since last season, and since losing its SEC opener at Alabama, it has won five straight conference roadies (4-1 ATS). However, the Tigers are mired in a 10-28-1 ATS slump on Saturday. While Kentucky is 2-6 ATS in its last eight overall and 1-4 ATS in its last five at home, it is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 after a non-cover and 4-1 ATS in its last five Saturday outings.
For the Tigers, the over is on streaks of 8-3 overall, 12-5 in conference play, 7-3 after a SU win and 10-3 after an ATS triumph. However, the under is 36-16 in LSU’s last 52 Saturday games. Kentucky is on “under” stretches of 6-1 at home, 17-8 in SEC play, 10-3 after a non-cover and 5-1 after a SU loss.
ATS ADVANTAGE: LSU
Ohio State (18-8, 13-9 ATS) at (16) Purdue (21-7, 11-13 ATS)
Purdue will try to bounce back from its poorest defensive effort of the Big Ten season when it hosts Ohio State, looking to avenge an overtime loss to the Buckeyes three weeks ago.
The Boilermakers allowed Michigan to shoot 63 percent from the field in Thursday’s 87-78 loss to the Wolverines as a two-point road chalk, ending a four-game winning streak. Purdue matched a season high in points allowed against Michigan after giving up 53.3 ppg during its four-game run. Also, the Boilermakers have followed up a 4-0 ATS run by going 2-5 ATS in the last seven, all in Big Ten action.
Ohio State halted a three-game SU and two-game ATS slide with Tuesday’s 73-59 rout of Penn State as a six-point home favorite. The Buckeyes have cashed in six of their last eight outings (5-3 SU), and they’re averaging 71.1 ppg during this stretch. Since failing to cover in its first two conference games, Thad Matta’s squad is 9-4 ATS against Big Ten foes (4-2 ATS on the road).
Purdue is in third place in the Big Ten standings at 10-5, two games behind Michigan State, but the Boilers are 7-8 ATS in league play (6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS at home). Ohio State is 8-7 (9-6 ATS) in conference (2-5 SU, 4-3 ATS on the road).
The home team has won the last four meetings in this rivalry (2-1-1 ATS), with the last two being overtime victories by Ohio State, including an 80-72 triumph as a two-point home pup on Feb. 3. The Buckeyes are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 tussles with the Boilermakers, going 6-1 ATS on their last seven trips to West Lafayette.
In addition to being 6-2 ATS in their last eight overall, the Buckeyes are on pointspread streaks of 5-2 against winning teams, 4-0 after a SU win and 4-0 on Saturday. Purdue is 2-5 ATS in its last seven overall and 3-9 ATS as a single-digit favorite this year, but 5-1 ATS in its last six at home and 9-4 ATS in its last 13 on Saturday.
The under is on runs of 6-2 for Ohio State on the road, 42-18-1 for Ohio State on Saturday and 4-1 for Purdue after a SU defeat. However, the Buckeyes have topped the total in five of their last seven contests (all in the Big Ten), and the over is 3-0 in the last three series meetings and 6-3 in the last nine.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OHIO STATE
Utah (20-7, 16-10 ATS) at BYU (21-6, 15-11 ATS)
Utah can move a step closer to clinching the regular-season Mountain West Conference title when it battles archrival BYU at the Marriott Center in Provo.
The Utes knocked off UNLV 70-60 as a five-point home favorite on Wednesday, their eighth consecutive victory (6-2 ATS), all in conference. Utah is 3-0 SU and ATS on the road during the winning streak, which began with a 94-88 overtime win over BYU back on Jan. 27, cashing as a 3½-point home favorite.
BYU improved to 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in its last eight games with Tuesday’s 69-59 come-from-behind victory at San Diego State as a one-point road underdog. The Cougars, who trailed by 14 points with 14 minutes to play, outscored the Aztecs 49-26 in the second half. BYU’s only loss since falling to Utah was a 75-74 setback at UNLV as a 1½-point underdog last Saturday.
Utah sits alone atop the Mountain West standings at 11-2 SU and 9-4 ATS, including 4-2 SU and ATS on the road. BYU is tied with New Mexico in second place with a 9-4 league mark (8-5 ATS), including 5-1 at home (3-3 ATS). The Cougars have won 37 of their last 38 conference home games, going 3-0 SU and ATS against Utah during this stretch.
Utah ended a four-game SU and ATS losing skid to its rival with last month’s overtime victory in Salt Lake City. The winner has covered in each of the last eight series battles, with the favorite going 6-2 ATS.
While the Utes are on ATS surges of 5-1 overall, 4-1 on the road and 4-0 versus winning teams, they’ve failed to cash in five of their last six Saturday contests. Meanwhile, during its 7-0 ATS run, BYU is 5-0 ATS against teams with a winning record and 3-0 ATS at home.
The over is on streaks of 5-2 in this rivalry, 12-5 for BYU overall, 7-1 for BYU on Saturday, 6-1 for Utah on Saturday and 15-6 for Utah after a spread-cover.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BYU
(25) Texas (19-8, 10-14 ATS) at Oklahoma State (18-9, 9-11-1 ATS)
Texas, which is trying to lock down a top-four finish in the Big 12 in order to earn a first-round bye in the upcoming conference tournament, goes after its third consecutive victory when it makes the trek to Stillwater for a battle with red-hot Oklahoma State.
The Longhorns followed up last Saturday’s hard-fought 73-68 home victory over then-No. 2 Oklahoma with Wednesday’s 87-81 win over Texas Tech. However, after cashing as a 1½-point home favorite against the Sooners, they fell well short as a 14½-point home chalk on Wednesday, dropping to 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games (4-9 ATS in conference). Texas is averaging 82 ppg on 49.5 percent shooting over its last five contests, but giving up 76 ppg on 48.3 percent shooting.
Oklahoma State has followed up a 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS slump (all in the Big 12) with four straight wins and covers in conference action, most recently drubbing Colorado 76-55 as a 5½-point road favorite Wednesday. During their winning streak – all double-digit victories – the Cowboys are averaging 84.5 ppg on 48.8 percent shooting and surrendering 69.6 ppg on 43 percent shooting.
While Texas is 8-5 (4-9 ATS) in conference, including 3-3 on the road (2-4 ATS), the Cowboys are a game behind at 7-6 (6-7 ATS), including 4-2 at Gallagher-Iba Arena (3-3 ATS).
Texas has won six consecutive games in this rivalry (3-2-1 ATS) and is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 battles. That includes a 99-74 rout of the Cowboys as an 8½-point home chalk on Feb. 10. On the Longhorns’ trip to Stillwater last year, they held on for a 63-61 victory but fell just short as a three-point favorite. The home team is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
Texas’ ATS funks include 2-6 overall, 2-5 on the highway, 1-4 on Saturday and 0-4 after a SU win. Oklahoma State is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 Saturday outings, but 2-5 ATS in its last seven against teams with a winning record.
The under is 5-1 in the last six clashes in this rivalry, but the over for the Longhorns is on runs of 4-1 overall and 5-0 after a SU victory.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
(22) UCLA (21-7, 12-14-1 ATS) at California (21-7, 15-10 ATS)
Cal looks to extend a strong late-season run and score a rare victory over UCLA when these Pac-10 rivals get together at Haas Pavilion in Berkeley.
Since closing out January with back-to-back road losses at UCLA and USC, Cal has won five of its last six games, including four straight at home. The Bears avenged the loss to USC with Thursday’s 81-78 overtime victory, but came up short as a four-point home favorite, their second straight non-cover after a 4-0 ATS run. Cal has scored more than 70 points in each of its last seven victories, while producing an average of 63.6 ppg in five conference losses.
The Bruins held off Stanford 76-71 on Thursday, pushing as a five-point road chalk. However, they’re just 2-3 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games (all in conference). UCLA’s normally stout defense has been the biggest culprit lately, giving up 77.4 ppg on 53.1 percent shooting in the last five contests after holding opponents to 60.6 ppg in its first 23 contests.
Cal and UCLA are tied for second place – along with Arizona State – in the Pac-10 standings with a 10-5 record, 1½ games behind Washington. The Bears are 8-7 ATS in conference play, including 5-3 at home (7-1 SU), and the Bruins are 6-8-1 ATS in the Pac-10 (5-3 SU and 2-5-1 ATS on the road).
UCLA has owned the Bears in recent years, winning four straight meetings overall (3-1 ATS) and eight of the last nine (6-3 ATS), with Cal’s lone victory coming in the 2007 Pac-10 tournament. Back on Jan. 29, Cal went to Los Angeles and got manhandled 81-66 as a 10-point underdog. The Bruins have won three straight times in Berkeley (3-0 ATS), with victory margins of 12, 16 and nine points, the latter in overtime. The visitor had been on an 8-0 ATS run in this rivalry before the Bruins covered easily last month.
In addition to being 0-4-1 ATS in its last five overall, UCLA is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five road games. Conversely, Cal is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 at home and 10-3 ATS in its last 13 after a SU victory. However, the Bears have failed to cover in five of their last six after a pointspread setback.
The Bruins have topped the total in 10 straight games overall, five straight games on the road and five straight games on Saturday, and the over is 20-8 in their last 28 overall and 24-9 in their last 33 Pac-10 contests. Similarly, Cal is on “over” streaks of 6-2 overall, 4-0 at home, 13-5 on Saturday, 5-1 against winning teams and 36-15-1 after an outright victory. Finally, five of the last six Cal-UCLA battles have hurdled the total, but the under is 5-2 ATS in the last seven clashes in Berkeley.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UCLA and OVER
NBA
Orlando (42-16, 36-21-1 ATS) at Philadelphia (29-28, 27-28-2 ATS)
The Magic look to knock off the 76ers for the third straight time this season and the fourth time in a row going back to last year when these Eastern Conference foes clash at the Wachovia Center.
Both teams were in action last night, with Orlando suffering a stunning 93-85 home loss to slumping Detroit as a 9½-point home favorite while the 76ers wrapped up a three-game, seven-day road trip with a 108-103 win at New York as a two-point underdog.
The Magic are now 6-6 SU and 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games after going on a 19-4 run from mid-December through the end of January. Also, they’re 5-7 ATS slump comes on the heels of a 21-5 ATS tear.
Philadelphia has followed up a four-game SU and five-game ATS backslide by going 2-0 SU and ATS in its last two, both on the road. The Sixers are on a 16-8 SU run and they’re 14-9-2 ATS in their last 25. Also, they’ve won 12 of their last 17 home games (9-6-2 ATS).
Orlando beat the Sixers twice in a 20-day span in November, wining 98-88 as a five-point home chalk on Nov. 6, then going to Philly and eking out a 96-94 victory as a five-point road underdog on Nov. 26. The Magic have won three in a row SU and ATS and are 7-1 in the last eight meetings (5-3 ATS), including 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in their last four as a visitor. Going back several seasons, the underdog is on a 23-10 ATS run in this rivalry, and Orlando has cashed in 11 of its last 15 trips to the Wachovia Center.
The Magic, who still own the second-best pointspread mark in the NBA, are on ATS runs of 35-18-1 overall, 15-6 on the road, 40-18-1 on Saturday, 7-4 against the Eastern Conference, 8-3 versus Atlantic Division foes and 6-2 when playing on back-to-back nights. Philadelphia is on ATS surges of 30-14 on Saturday, 9-4 against winning teams and 6-1-1 versus the Southeast Division.
Orlando sports “over” trends of 5-2 overall, 10-4 on the highway, 5-2 on Saturday and 4-2 when playing within the Eastern Conference. On the flip side, the under for the 76ers is on runs of 6-3-1 overall, 36-16-1 at home, 6-2-1 on Saturday and 6-2 when playing on no rest. Also, the two meetings between these teams this season stayed under the total, and the under is 3-1 in the last four battles (2-0 in Philadelphia).
ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO
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